Until the inauguration, a lot of elite establishment focus will be on Donald Trump, casting him as a spent and discredited former force, destined to (perhaps/unlikely) be removed from office or, at least, be ignored by the Pentagon and other parts of his own government until a new president is sworn in.
Then around 1/20, this same group will turn its focus to the question of if Joe Biden will govern with a center-left coalition or a left-left one, with the answer to that being determined, as seen through this Owl Eyes filter, as determined by the joint and separate political calculations of Biden and Mitch McConnell.
In Gang of 500ese, the combination of Georgia and the invasion of the Capitol has reduced Trump’s hold over his party from near-total to near totally gone.
How true is that premise?
Hard to say.
But I think it is almost certainly less true than the impression one would get looking through the filter of the nation’s major news organizations as informed by their establishment sources.
Before I show you what the Gang of 500 clearly thinks, let’s consider the alternative case – that what the establishment clearly sees as a long-overdue break point is perhaps not happening in the Redlands.
First, watch a bit of the focus group I conducted Thursday night, with four Trump supporters and four Biden backers.
Read the rest here